Investment Insights Podcast: The dreaded yield curve inversion


Andrew Goins
, CFA, Investment Manager

On this week’s podcast (recorded September 24, 2018), Andrew discusses the probability of future Fed rate hikes and the potential impact of the yield curve.

Quick hits:

  • The more highly anticipated event will be the release of the Beige Book following this weeks meetings, which covers everything discussed and includes the widely followed dot plot.
  • We’ve been dealing with a very flat yield curve for much of this year.
  • Everyone is watching closely for the dreaded yield curve inversion, which has been an ominous sign for impending recessions historically.
  • While the curve remains flat, but positively sloped, and with the weight of the evidence leaning positive, our portfolios remain overweight to equities.

For Andrew’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.

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This is not a recommendation for Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google. These securities are shown for illustrative purposes only.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Vlog – The markets vs. the mid-terms

Tim Holland, Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, discusses the upcoming Congressional mid-term elections, specifically what party will win the House and the Senate, and how markets might respond once the votes are counted.

 

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: September 2018 market and economic outlook

Leigh Lowman, CFA, Investment Manager

On this week’s podcast (recorded September 7, 2018), Leigh provides a brief review of August markets.

 

Quick hits:

  • Despite what historically is a difficult month for markets, US equities finished in strong positive territory and a new record was set for the longest bull market in history.
  • The S&P 500 Index was up 3.3% for the month and has gained 9.9% year to date.
  • Developed international equities as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index were down -1.9% for the month and -1.9% year to date.
  • Emerging Markets Index was down -2.7% for the month and -6.9% year to date.
  • The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index was up 0.6% for the month with all sectors posting positive returns.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield declined 12 basis points, ending the month at 2.85%, and led to further flattening of the yield curve.

Listen_Icon  Listen to the abbreviated audio recording.

Read_Icon  Read the full August Market and Economic Outlook.

 

market outlook Sept 2018

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

 

Investment Insights Podcast: Markets climbing a wall of worry

Chris HartSenior Vice President

On this week’s podcast (recorded August 30, 2018), Chris discusses the seven bricks that Strategas considers to be the largest in their “wall of worry”.

 

Quick hits:

  • Many believe we are witness to one of the most unloved bull markets of all time.
  • It is important to try and set aside emotion and gut feeling, and instead focus on fundamentals to help guide your decision-making process.
  • Are there plenty of bricks in the wall to worry about? Yes, but fundamentals remain strong and reinforce our belief that markets still have room to move higher.

For the rest of Chris’s insight, click here to listen to the audio recording.

investment podcast (1)

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: Will Turkey topple the global economy?

Tim Holland, CFA, Senior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded August 24, 2018),
Tim discusses if the economic and market issues in Turkey might serve as catalysts for a global recession and bear market.

Quick hits:

  • The country’s Borsa Instanbul 100 Index is off 22% year to date and its currency, the Lira, has lost half its value against the US dollar.
  • Turkey accounts for 1.5% of the world’s GDP, so the country is a nominal contributor to global growth.

For Tim’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.


investment podcast
The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: August 2018 market and economic outlook

Leigh Lowman, CFA, Investment Manager

On this week’s podcast (recorded August 10, 2018), Leigh provides a brief review of July markets.

 

Quick hits:

  • The third quarter was off to a good start with risk assets positive for July.
  • Global trade tensions continued to escalate throughout the month, but geopolitical uncertainty was offset by positive economic growth.
  • The S&P 500 Index was up 3.7% for the month with sector performance positive across the board.
  • Developed international equities, as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index, was up 2.5% for the month and flat year-to-date.
  • The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index was flat for the month and down -1.6% year-to-date.
  • Overall, we remain positive on risk assets over the intermediate-term.

Listen_Icon  Listen to the abbreviated audio recording.

Read_Icon  Read the full July Market and Economic Outlook.

 

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

 

Vlog – Is value poised to gain on growth?

Tim Holland, Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, discusses how value stocks have badly lagged growth stocks, but there are signs that dynamic could be shifting.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: The US economy accelerates in Q2. Will the momentum continue?

Tim Holland, CFA, Senior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded July 30, 2018),
Tim discusses why the underlying components of the GDP growth report were most encouraging and speaks to why the US economy should continue to perform well into 2019.

Quick hits:

  • During Q2 the US savings rate was a very healthy 6.8%, this should keep the US consumer on firm financial footing, a key development when one considers the US economy is 70% consumer driven.
  • Both housing and inventories detracted from economic growth during Q2.
  • Nonresidential fixed investment – which is another way of saying spending by corporate America – increased a very healthy 7.3% during Q2, after rising an even stronger 11.5% in Q1.

For Tim’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.

investment podcast (31)The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Vlog – Quarter End Q&A: 2Q18

Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, Tim Holland, asks and answers those questions we think will be top of mind for clients as they open their quarterly statements and think back on the quarter that was:

  1. Why did US equities rebound in Q2?
  2. Why did Emerging Market equities struggle during Q2?
  3. When will fixed income find its footing?

Q&A_Video_Still


The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: July 2018 market and economic outlook

Leigh Lowman, CFA, Investment Manager

On this week’s podcast (recorded July 13, 2018), Leigh provides a brief review of the second quarter.

 

Quick hits:

  • Volatility continued into the second quarter with risk asset performance mixed.
  • The Fed implemented a 25-basis point rate hike in June and revised its forecast from three to four rate hikes for 2018.
  • Concern over a more hawkish Fed coupled with increasing trade tensions will likely cause volatility to persist, but we expect fiscal stimulus and strong fundamentals will lead to positive economic growth over the intermediate-term.

Listen_Icon  Listen to the abbreviated audio recording.

Read_Icon  Read the full July Market and Economic Outlook.

 

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.