Investment Insights Podcast: Demography is destiny

Tim Holland, CFA, Senior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded May 29, 2018),
Tim discusses how population trends play a key role in determining a nation’s fate.

Quick hits:

  • If a nation wants to see its GDP grow year on year, it needs either more people entering the workforce or the workforce increasing its productivity.
  • Fortunately for the US, our nation’s population continues to grow at a rate greater than most developed nations and not that far shy of overall global population growth.
  • The US seems poised to benefit from a meaningful demographic tailwind courtesy of our nation’s Millennials.

For Tim’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Vlog – The yield curve: What is it and why does it matter?

Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, Tim Holland, discusses what the yield curve is, why investors focus on it and what it might be telling us today about the state of the economy.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: The 60/40 portfolio in a world of rising rates, falling bond prices & increasing volatility

Tim Holland, CFA, Senior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded April 27, 2018),
Tim takes a closer look at the 60/40 portfolio, including how the past few years were particularly conducive to such an approach to portfolio construction and why we have likely just entered a more challenging period for this model.

Quick hits:

  • Over the past few years, both bonds and stocks moved higher in value, really an ideal – and unusual – environment for a 60/40 approach.
  • We think 2018 marks the beginning of a tougher road for the 60/40 portfolio.
  • We also think 2018 marks the beginning of a more favorable environment for Brinker Capital’s approach to portfolio construction and asset allocation.
  • We remain constructive on the outlook for both the economy and risk assets as we move through 2018.

For Tim’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.

 

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Vlog – Quarter End Q&A: 1Q18

Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, Tim Holland, asks and answers those questions we think will be top of mind for clients as they open their quarterly statements and think back on the quarter that was.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

President Trump, trade & the markets…Is it time to hit the panic button?

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Tim Holland, CFASenior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded March 23, 2018), Tim discusses the Trump Administration’s trade policies and its impact on Brinker Capital’s portfolio positioning.

Quick hits:

  • Investors have been fixated on the Trump Administration’s trade policy. First, the proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and now talk of much broader based action directed at China.
  • After rallying strongly off its February lows, the S&P 500 has been correcting on increasing concerns protectionist trade policies will torpedo consumer and corporate sentiment and spending, and ultimately the stock market.
  • We remain bullish on the economy and risk assets, including US stocks. Why? Simply put, the hard and soft economic data – or maybe said another way, reality, not rhetoric – tells us we should.
  • 4 BIG BOXES that help drive our thinking: fiscal policy, monetary policy, economic fundamentals, and sentiment.

For the rest of Tim’s insight, click here to listen to the audio recording.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

 

Vlog – Trade wars are bad for business; Fortunately, we aren’t in one, yet

Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, Tim Holland, provides perspective on the Trump Administration’s tariff announcement.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a registered investment advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: Fiscal policy takes the baton from monetary policy – What it means for the economy & risk assets

Tim Holland, CFA, Senior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded February 23, 2018), Tim takes a closer look at US fiscal policy and how it might impact the economy and markets as we move through 2018.

Quick hits:

  • For now, we see fiscal policy as a net positive for economic growth and risk assets, particularly equities.
  • We also don’t see interest rates and inflation as a risk to the economy and markets.
  • We do think rates are biased higher, which is one reason we are conservatively positioned within fixed income.
  • Increased investor concern over higher rates and inflation is driving greater market volatility, something we all lived through earlier this month.

For Tim’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Vlog – Market volatility: It’s back! Why? And what comes next?

Brinker Capital’s Global Investment Strategist, Tim Holland, provides perspective around recent market volatility, what triggered it and what impact it’s having on our thinking and portfolio positioning.

The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Investment Insights Podcast: The yield curve – What is it and why does it matter?

Tim Holland, CFA, Senior Vice President, Global Investment Strategist

On this week’s podcast (recorded January 26, 2018), Tim discusses a topic that’s been receiving significant attention from the media and investors, and that’s the yield curve.

 

Quick hits:

  • The yield curve is simply the spread or difference between the yield on the 10-year US Treasury Note and the 2-year US Treasury Note.
  • Usually, our economy is expanding and the yield curve is positively sloped.
  • Two forces typically cause the yield curve to flatten or invert: 1. the Federal Reserve raising the Fed Funds Rate, and 2. when investors continue to invest in the long end of the yield curve.
  • The yield curve has been flattening of late. So do we at Brinker think it might be signaling a recession?

For Tim’s full insights, click here to listen to the audio recording.

 

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The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change. Brinker Capital, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor.

Video Blog – Recessions: what, why, and when?

Welcome to the inaugural post of the Brinker Capital Vlog, a monthly video series where we tackle timely market and economic topics. We hope you find the following video content valuable.

On today’s vlog, Tim Holland, Global Investment Strategist at Brinker Capital, discusses recessions – what they are; what causes them; and his predictions for when the next one will hit.