Tom Wilson, Managing Director, Wealth Advisory &
Senior Investment Manager
Just a few months ago, it seemed unlikely that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates. However, on the precipice of the December 16 meeting, the consensus opinion has shifted to the Fed likely to raise interest rates when they conclude their two-day meeting. Investors will be looking closely at the comments coming out of the meeting.
We expect the Fed to highlight the positive aspects of U.S. employment, which has been one of their two mandates. This can provide them the justification for increasing interest rates from today’s exceptional levels. Their second mandate is an inflation target that supports price stability and economic growth. On this point, the Fed will likely note that the economy is running below their 2% target and thus could make dovish comments on the prospect of raising rates in the future.
Investors will also be looking to see how the Fed comments on China’s economy, the drop in oil prices, and the decline in global equity markets. More specifically, the market would be looking for insight on how much the Fed will weigh this information when setting monetary policy here in the U.S.
The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. For informational purposes only. Holdings are subject to change.