There’s more to market patterns than “sell in May and go away”
Stock market returns should – and will – ultimately reflect the underlying economy, particularly the level of interest rates and corporate earnings, which means, among other things, that the calendar, Gregorian or otherwise, should have no impact whatsoever on performance. Yet, with that written, most…
Earnings yield – What it is and what it says about stocks today
We would argue the most popular way to value individual stocks and the stock market is using earnings, with investors taking what a company or the market has earned (“reported earnings”) or what a company or the companies that make up the market are expected…
Time is on their side, and ours too!
Nearly 57 years to the day of their first public performance at London’s Marquee Club, the Rolling Stones wrapped up the USA leg of their very successful and critically acclaimed No Filter Tour. Incredibly, time, even after all these years, still seems to be on…
4 thoughts for the 4th quarter
When it comes to cultural tie-ins associated with the number four one can go in any number of directions, including superhero, think Fantastic 4; popular music, think The Four Tops; and sports, think The Four Horsemen of Notre Dame. Well, as we focus on 4…
The US continues to lead the global equity market race
When it comes to the global equity market race, well, it hasn’t been much of a race. With US equities – as measured by the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) – up 254% over the past 10 years and 18% in 2019 vs. developed international…
Don’t get down if the markets aren’t dancing in September
It’s been a positive – if somewhat bumpy – year for US equities, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) up about 17% in 2019, despite pullbacks of about 7% in May and August. The robust performance of the US stock market isn’t surprising given…
“And it’s too late, baby now, it’s too late” (Or is it?)
Carole King may have been lamenting the inevitable end of a long-lived relationship in her classic ballad “It’s too late,” but for worried investors she could have easily been singing about how US monetary and trade policy have conspired to bring an end to the…
Why we’re not worried about the deficit and debt!
It’s coincidental Ross Perot passed away at a time when many members of our political and economic classes are increasingly concerned about our nation’s deficit and debt, and how both could be meaningful headwinds for the economy and risk assets going forward. While not dismissive…
Fortunately, there’s no rule about not talking about “The Rule of 20”
Coming into 2019, Brinker Capital believed if we could solve for monetary policy risk and trade policy risk that the economy and the markets would be biased higher. Well, we received more good news than bad on both fronts lately, and risk assets and the…
A tale of two yield curves
“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the…