What the election means for the market
Equities have rallied, the economy is recovering, and we are learning to live with COVID-19, all of which is good news. However, this means the presidential election can now command the media’s—and the market’s—full attention. Politics are already top of mind among investors who work…
Sometimes, it’s all about expectations
Sometimes in life it’s not so much what you do, it’s what you do relative to what the world expects of you, like Lloyd Christmas in Dumb & Dumber, totally redeeming himself in the eyes of Harry Dunne when he trades their van “straight up,…
It’s the final countdown…to the election
As the 2020 Presidential election draws near, our attention instinctively turns to Europe – the Swedish pop-metal band, not the continent – and their mid-80s chart-topper, The Final Countdown. Now that summer is over, the final countdown to election day has begun. In this spirit,…
Show me the money
You can count us among the world’s cinephiles, with a particular and deep appreciation for the cinematic work of the late, great Burt Reynolds. When it comes to remarkable movies, they all seem to have a few things going for them, including a first-rate cast,…
The bear market goes on…until it doesn’t
When trying to put in perspective the shortest bear market in US history—at least a bear market that saw the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) sell off 30%+—there are any number of directions one can go. However, I decided to go with the children’s book…
Why planes, trains, and automobiles are worth watching – the index, not the movie
We are big fans of the late director John Hughes. In fact, this is the second Weekly Wire where we have leaned on one of his films – this time it is “Planes, Trains, and Automobiles” – as a means of hopefully making our market…
The US 10-Year Note Yield – the good, the bad, and the (possibly) ugly
The US 10-Year Note is the most important fixed income instrument in the world. Its yield determines the borrowing costs for countries, companies, and consumers while the Note itself acts as a haven asset during periods of market and economic stress. It might be impossible…
What ails “King Dollar”
We live in a world where the US dollar dominates – meaning more trade and financial transactions use it and more are held by global central and commercial banks than any other currency. Simply put, the US dollar is the world’s reserve currency and our…
99 days until Election Day
In 99 days, Americans will choose the next President of the United States. Presidential elections are weighty affairs, heavy with history and allegory, and they serve as a mirror to America – where we think we are, where we think we should be headed, and…
The market’s wall of worry is daunting, but it’s got nothing on El Capitan
As we tried these past few months to put a very unusual – and very stressful – market and economic environment in perspective, we leaned on a few bits of timeless Wall Street wisdom, including “Don’t Fight The Fed” and “Don’t Try To Time The…